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Eric Davis: Telling the tale of the election tape

Posted on November 8, 2018 |
By Eric Davis



Davis, Eric May 2018.jpg

Editor’s note: This is a special column by Eric Davis reflecting his personal analysis and views of the political landscape the morning after the election. It was written as a personal reflection to friends and colleagues, so is left in the first person to reflect that personal voice.

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Eric Davis: Questions to be answered Tuesday

Posted on November 1, 2018 |
By Eric Davis



Davis, Eric May 2018.jpg

Here are some questions to consider as election results come in next Tuesday night.

Polls indicate considerably more interest in this year’s midterms than in typical off-year cycles. National turnout in the last midterms, in 2014, was only 36.6 percent. This year’s turnout will be higher than that. But how much higher?

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Eric Davis: Is Turner a real threat to Zuckerman?

Posted on October 18, 2018 |
By Eric Davis



Davis, Eric May 2018.jpg

The most competitive statewide election in Vermont this year is for lieutenant governor, between Progressive-Democratic incumbent David Zuckerman and Republican challenger Don Turner.

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Eric Davis: Trump's fuel rules likely a disaster

Posted on October 4, 2018 |
By Eric Davis



Davis, Eric May 2018.jpg

With all the attention in recent weeks to Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the Supreme Court, Rod Rosenstein’s future as Deputy Attorney General, and trade negotiations among the U.S., Canada and Mexico, many other important stories have received less news coverage than they deserve. One such story involves the Trump Administration’s plans for automobile fuel-efficiency standards and projections of global warming.

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Eric Davis: GOP governors could sweep New England

Posted on September 20, 2018 |
By Eric Davis



Davis, Eric May 2018.jpg

New England is the region where President Trump’s approval ratings are lowest, and where the congressional delegations are most heavily Democratic. Currently, 11 of the 12 U.S. Senators from New England are members of the Democratic caucus, as are 20 of the 21 U.S. House members. However, Republicans could possibly hold all six New England governorships after November.

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Eric Davis: Congressional mystery could loom

Posted on September 6, 2018 |
By Eric Davis



Davis, Eric May 2018.jpg

Democrats must gain 23 U.S. House seats in November in order to have a majority in January. Most independent analysts believe there is about a 60 percent probability that control of the House will flip. A Democratic House would conduct vigorous oversight and investigation of Trump Administration officials and policies. It might also consider articles of impeachment against President Trump.

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Eric Davis: Hallquist poses serious challenge to Scott

Posted on August 23, 2018 |
By Eric Davis



Davis, Eric May 2018.jpg

Phil Scott is the favorite to be re-elected governor, but Christine Hallquist may make Scott work for a second term. Incumbent governors sometimes coast to re-election after just two years in office. Such an outcome does not appear likely this year.

Both polls and primary turnout numbers show greater enthusiasm among Democrats than among Republicans heading into the fall campaign. Primary turnout was higher than many expected, with more than 20 percent of the registered voters going to the polls.

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Eric Davis: Turnout is crucial in the gubernatorial primary

Posted on August 9, 2018 |
By Eric Davis



Davis, Eric May 2018.jpg

With less than a week to go until the Vermont primary election, three key questions remain open.  How many voters will turn out for the primary?  How will challenger Keith Stern fare against Governor Scott in the Republican primary?  Who will finish first in the Democratic primary for governor?

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Eric Davis: State Dems eyeing veto-proof edge

Posted on July 26, 2018 |
By Eric Davis



Davis, Eric May 2018.jpg

The most consequential elections in Vermont in November could well involve 10 to 15 House seats around the state, which will determine whether Gov. Scott can have vetoes sustained by the Legislature in 2019 and 2020.

Scott is likely to be re-elected. No incumbent governor of Vermont has lost a re-election bid in 56 years. None of the Democratic candidates for governor has the political and electoral experience, fund-raising ability or name recognition to pose a serious challenge to Scott.

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Eric Davis: Does court nominee have conflict?

Posted on July 12, 2018 |
By Eric Davis



Davis, Eric May 2018.jpg

Several of Justice Anthony Kennedy’s Supreme Court opinions could figure in the confirmation of President Trump’s nominee, Brett Kavanaugh, to be his successor. One of these cases, decided in 2009, was Caperton v. A.T. Massey Coal Company. Although not well-known, Kennedy’s opinion in this case is relevant to today’s political situation.

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